In late 2010, the ISL, IHS Global Insight and Raven Trading finalized the forecast of the cargo handling potential at the Port of Hamburg for the years 2015, 2020 and 2025. The most important element driving this demand is the economic development in the hinterland that is being serviced by the port. For container traffic, ISL’s continuously updated North European Container Traffic Model provided the necessary basis. Together with IHS Global Insights’ foreign trade forecasting expertise, it was possible to quantify the impact of the individual economic parameters of the economies in the hinterland on each North range port. As previous studies have indicated, the regional structure of the seaborne trade is of equal importance. The closer a port is tied to dynamically growing regions like Asia or the Baltic Sea economies, the higher are its growth potentials.
For bulk commodities and conventional general cargos, a different path was chosen. For these loading categories, single consuming or producing enterprises in the hinterland play a vital role in determining the future prospects. Hence large scaled surveys have been conducted while never losing sight of the macroeconomic trends driving for example raw materials demand. Through the surveys, it was possible to quantify the relevance and traffic requirements of the bulk and general cargo traffic in the hinterland of the Port of Hamburg.