North European Container Traffic Model (NECTM)

Continuous market monitoring of structures of the container traffic in the North range ports

ISL’s North European Container Traffic Model (NECTM) is an integrated TEU-based model for the North range ports including deepsea and shortsea traffic as well as hinterland and transhipment regions for the ports of the Hamburg-Le Havre range (Le Havre, Zeebrugge, Antwerp, Rotterdam, Bremen/Bremerhaven, Hamburg).

The model differentiates transhipment volumes from hinterland traffic, identifies the volumes and modal split of container traffic with the various corresponding hinterland regions of the North range ports, assesses the container traffic volumes between the North range ports and corresponding shortsea destinations and provides the basis for forecasts of port traffic and hinterland transport volumes using IHS Global Insight’s World Trade Service (WTS).

The NECTM is a flexible tool for benchmarking and competition analysis as well as for detailed market research on intra-European shortsea traffic volumes and deepsea trades. Results can be presented in customized databases, tables, graphs and figures, according to different regional aggregates or for selected market segments.

The model comprises two modules covering the whole range of European container traffic to and from the North range ports. The assessments of both modules are based on a split of port traffic volumes since reliable intra-European trade and transhipment data are not available. In a first step, shortsea traffic volumes are split into intra-European shortsea trade and transhipment volumes (short haul). Second, these transhipment volumes are used as a basis for the corresponding split of deepsea traffic into transhipment (long haul) and direct inland transportation.